{
 "key": "caitlin-clark-main-reason",
 "id": 1912,
 "kind": "belief",
 "text": "Caitlin Clark is the main reason WNBA attendance and television ratings rose sharply in 2024 and 2025.",
 "standalone": "Caitlin Clark is the main reason WNBA attendance and television ratings rose sharply in 2024 and 2025.",
 "truth": 0.5,
 "confidence": 0.414755,
 "starts_at": 0.5,
 "start_weight": 1.0,
 "rests_on": {
  "etype": null,
  "erq": null,
  "erp": null
 },
 "reasonrank": 0.00334257,
 "reasonrank_place": 159,
 "work_value": 0.00195622,
 "beliefs_beneath": [],
 "complete": true,
 "checks": [
  {
   "severity": "worth checking",
   "title": "Rows that may be the same point twice",
   "why": "5 pair(s) of rows here read alike and no uniqueness page argues the overlap, so each is carrying its full weight. The measure reads wording, not meaning."
  },
  {
   "severity": "worth checking",
   "title": "Evidence filed above the premise it bears on",
   "why": "This page cites 7 findings and argues to 0.52, but it reads 0.50 because 3 load-bearing premises beneath it cite nothing. A conclusion cannot be more settled than a premise it needs, so evidence placed here cannot lift the cap. Put each finding on the premise it is a finding about."
  },
  {
   "severity": "worth checking",
   "title": "Costs and benefits given as single figures",
   "why": "3 of 3 priced rows state one number and no range. A decision cannot be checked against a point estimate: the reader cannot tell whether the net survives the estimate being wrong, which is usually the whole question."
  }
 ],
 "used_on": [],
 "reads": [
  1913,
  1914,
  1915,
  1916,
  1917,
  1918,
  1919,
  1920,
  1921,
  1922,
  1923,
  1924,
  1925,
  1926,
  1927,
  1928,
  1929,
  1930,
  1931,
  1932,
  1933,
  1934,
  1935,
  1936,
  1937,
  1938,
  1939,
  1940,
  1941,
  1942,
  1943,
  1944,
  1945,
  1946,
  1947,
  1948,
  1949,
  1950,
  1951,
  1952,
  1953,
  1954,
  1955,
  1956,
  1957,
  1958,
  1959,
  1960,
  1961,
  1962,
  1963,
  1964,
  1965,
  1966,
  1967,
  1968,
  1969,
  1970,
  1971,
  1972,
  1973,
  1974,
  1975,
  1976,
  1977
 ],
 "url": "caitlin-clark-main-reason.html",
 "cite": "Caitlin Clark is the main reason WNBA attendance and television ratings rose sharply in 2024 and 2025. Idea Stock Exchange, belief page caitlin-clark-main-reason, truth 0.50, confidence 41%, revision 42c8344.",
 "argued_truth": 0.518724,
 "belief_score": 0.070417,
 "weight_for": 0.475417,
 "weight_against": 0.405,
 "capped_by": [
  1967,
  1968,
  1969
 ],
 "sensitivity": {
  "status": "undecided",
  "inputs": 29,
  "inert": 5,
  "joint_worst": 0.0,
  "top": [
   {
    "page": 1967,
    "key": "nationally-televised-wnba-games-2",
    "if_false": 0.0,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.5,
    "move_if_settled": 0.5,
    "verdict": "moves it down"
   },
   {
    "page": 1968,
    "key": "gap-between-clark-games",
    "if_false": 0.0,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.5,
    "move_if_settled": 0.5,
    "verdict": "moves it down"
   },
   {
    "page": 1969,
    "key": "without-caitlin-clark-wnba-2",
    "if_false": 0.0,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.5,
    "move_if_settled": 0.5,
    "verdict": "moves it down"
   },
   {
    "page": 1918,
    "key": "2024-regular-season-nationally",
    "if_false": 0.443394,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.056606,
    "move_if_settled": 0.125719,
    "verdict": "moves it down"
   },
   {
    "page": 1919,
    "key": "during-five-games-caitlin",
    "if_false": 0.443394,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.056606,
    "move_if_settled": 0.125719,
    "verdict": "moves it down"
   },
   {
    "page": 1921,
    "key": "2025-wnba-all-star",
    "if_false": 0.443394,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.056606,
    "move_if_settled": 0.125719,
    "verdict": "moves it down"
   },
   {
    "page": 1920,
    "key": "ryan-brewer-associate-professor",
    "if_false": 0.471764,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.028236,
    "move_if_settled": 0.108225,
    "verdict": "moves it down"
   },
   {
    "page": 1913,
    "key": "nationally-televised-wnba-games",
    "if_false": 0.5,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.0,
    "move_if_settled": 0.090233,
    "verdict": "worth settling"
   }
  ]
 },
 "built_from": "42c8344"
}