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Belief

Cities should generally redesign streets to slow cars down, even when that lengthens drive times. 0.50 Agree Disagree

Topic: Autos · draft Still needs: evidence, objective criteria, testable predictions or a falsifiability test, costs and benefits, interests on either side (listed at the end of the page) · Votes are shown as what people think, next to what the analysis says, and never move a score. · Position on the topic axis (typed, not scored): -55

If you disagree, this page has a column for you. A study, record or dataset for “Whether a crash kills someone depends mostly on speed, so a street built for slower driving saves lives without relying on drivers choosing to behave better”, which rests on argument alone.

Argument TreesHow arguments are scored →

Reasons to disagree

#ArgumentTruthConfLinkImpUniqScore
1Longer trips cost workers, deliveries and emergency vehicles real time every single day, and those costs add up across a whole city.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00-0.00
2Slowing a main road pushes drivers onto neighborhood side streets, moving the danger to places that were quiet before.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00-0.00
3In most places most people have no practical alternative to driving, so making driving worse punishes them without giving them a better option.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00-0.00

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Weight for 0.00 · weight against 0.00 · net +0.00

Each reason is a claim with its own page. Score = sign x (2 x Truth - 1) x Conf x Link x Imp x Uniq, and every column is here so the row can be multiplied out and checked. A reason argued false scores negative and counts against the side it is filed on; a reason nobody has argued yet scores exactly 0, and so does one whose own page has no work behind it.

What Would Change the AnswerTruth scores →

#InputIts truthConfIf falseIf trueMoveIf settledWhat it does here
1Whether a crash kills someone depends mostly on speed, so a street built for slower driving saves lives without relying on drivers choosing to behave better. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
2Streets where cars move slowly are streets where children, old people and cyclists can safely be, which gives everyone a choice besides driving. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
3Redesigning a street to slow cars costs each driver a small amount of time on each trip, while the safety gained is shared by every person who uses the street. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
4Longer trips cost workers, deliveries and emergency vehicles real time every single day, and those costs add up across a whole city. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
5Slowing a main road pushes drivers onto neighborhood side streets, moving the danger to places that were quiet before. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
6In most places most people have no practical alternative to driving, so making driving worse punishes them without giving them a better option. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling

Every claim beneath this page held at false and then at true, one at a time, with the whole graph recomputed each time. "If false" and "if true" are where this page’s truth score lands; "Move" is how far apart they are. "If settled" is that same distance with the input’s confidence held at 1, which is what it would be worth once the work behind it is finished, so the gap between Move and If settled is the value of doing that work. This is one input at a time and finds single points of failure; it does not test several inputs moving together, which is how correlated assumptions actually fail.

Related Beliefs

  1. Banning the sale of new gasoline cars by a fixed date is generally a mistake. 0.50
  2. Cities should generally redesign streets to slow cars down, even when that lengthens drive times. (this page)

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The other beliefs filed under Autos; this one is listed unlinked.

Not filled in yet

Evidence Ledgerno findings cited yet
Falsifiability Testnothing named that would strengthen or weaken this belief if it turned up
Testable Predictionsnothing stated that we should observe if this belief is true or false
Objective Criteriano yardstick both sides would accept in advance has been proposed
What Acting On This Would Cost and Gainno costs or benefits priced yet
Logical Anatomythe claim has not been split into its component parts
Interests, Not Positionsnobody has mapped who wants what, or why
Media Resourcesno books, studies or films weighed
Legal Frameworkno laws or rulings cited
General to Specificnot linked to broader or narrower beliefs

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Parts of the template nobody has filled in here. They are named rather than shown, because an empty table is not a finding, and each one is a reason the confidence above is not higher. A part that takes rows has a form for its first one.

What this page needs right now

#The gapWhere it goesWho is best placed to fill it
1A study, record or dataset for “Whether a crash kills someone depends mostly on speed, so a street built for slower driving saves lives without relying on drivers choosing to behave better”, which rests on argument aloneEvidence Ledgeranyone with the source
2A measurement both sides would accept in advance, with the reading each side predictsObjective Criteriaanyone who can name a yardstick the other side would sign

Named gaps, read off the tables above, so a newcomer can see exactly where a contribution goes. None of them requires agreeing with the page, and each one links to the form it goes in.

What the numbers are made of

Share on the agree side
no scored weight either way
Confidence
32%. Weakest parts: scrutiny 0% · grounding 0%
Depended on
ReasonRank 0.0033, 39 of 2173
Strongest reason for
Whether a crash kills someone depends mostly on speed, so a street built for slower driving saves lives without relying on drivers choosing to behave better. +0.00
Strongest reason against
Longer trips cost workers, deliveries and emergency vehicles real time every single day, and those costs add up across a whole city. -0.00
What would move this most
Settling Whether a crash kills someone depends mostly on speed, so a street bu…: 0.50 if false, 0.50 if true
Coverage
Of 6 scored rows, 6 have no linkage page, 6 have no importance page, 6 have no uniqueness page. This page reads 6 other pages. 6 of them are one-sided or empty: Whether a crash kills someone depends mostly on speed, so a street built for slower driving saves lives without relying on drivers choosing to behave better.; Streets where cars move slowly are streets where children, old people and cyclists can safely be, which gives everyone a choice besides driving.; Redesigning a street to slow cars costs each driver a small amount of time on each trip, while the safety gained is shared by every person who uses the street.; Longer trips cost workers, deliveries and emergency vehicles real time every single day, and those costs add up across a whole city.; Slowing a main road pushes drivers onto neighborhood side streets, moving the danger to places that were quiet before.; In most places most people have no practical alternative to driving, so making driving worse punishes them without giving them a better option..
Bottom line
It turns on how many minutes of driving time a community will trade for fewer deaths and more people able to walk and bike.

Structural Checks

FindingHow seriousWhat it means
Nothing stated would show it falsea noteNo testable prediction is listed, so as written there is no observation that would count against this belief.

Faults the shape of the argument can show without reading a word of it: a claim used to support itself, a conclusion listed among its own premises, the same page counted twice. None of these changes a score. The wiki also specifies pattern-matching the prose for ten named fallacies; that is deliberately not done here, because a matcher looking for “attacking the person rather than the argument” would fire on the central legitimate argument on this whole site, and a score moved by a regular expression has no page to appeal to.

Scoring EngineTruth scores →

QuantityValueHow
Argument score+0.00argument rows: weight for minus weight against
Evidence score+0.00evidence rows: weight for minus weight against
Prediction contribution+0.00prediction rows, same signed formula as every other row
Belief score+0.00the three lines above added together
Positive total0.00every row whose signed contribution came out positive, from either side
Negative total0.00every row whose signed contribution came out negative, as a magnitude
Starting point0.50where this claim starts before any of its own rows count: Nothing observed: no source type recorded, so this claim starts at a coin flip
Weight of the starting point1.00k x a bounded reward for independent replication, k = 1, capped at 2.0 x k
Truth score, argued0.50(positive + weight x starting point) / (positive + negative + weight)
Truth score0.50argued truth, capped by the weakest load-bearing component that has its own page
ReasonRank0.0033how much of the site depends on this page: rank 39 of 2173. The share of a walk that starts at the 162 beliefs and steps to the pages they read, with a 0.85 chance of stepping on each time
Work value0.0023ReasonRank x (1 - confidence): how much settling this page would be worth to everything above it
Completenessyesat least one scored reason on each side (an importance page: at least one interest; an interest page: both readings filled)

Cite this page Cities should generally redesign streets to slow cars down, even when that lengthens drive times. Idea Stock Exchange, belief page cities-generally-redesign-streets, truth 0.50, confidence 32%, revision 42c8344 of 2026-10-04. The revision is what makes this quotable: these numbers move as the argument is worked on, and rebuilding that revision reproduces them exactly.

Every number on this page as data: cities-generally-redesign-streets.json. Constants: K = 1 · UNARG = 0.5 · DEFLINK = 1 · DEFIMP = 0.5 · DEFUNIQ = 1. A reason placed under a conclusion is presumed relevant until a linkage page says otherwise; the burden is on the challenger. The neutral start for importance, the wiki's own rule.

Every value here is computed from the tables above at build time. Nothing is typed.