{
 "key": "evid-trades-placed-before-barring-members",
 "id": 180,
 "kind": "linkage",
 "text": "If it were true that: “Trades placed before legislative events earned abnormal returns of about 3 to 5 percent over 2014 to 2021”, it would significantly strengthen the conclusion that: “Barring members of Congress and the president from owning or trading individual stocks would reduce the use of public office for private gain”",
 "standalone": "If it were true that: “Trades placed before legislative events earned abnormal returns of about 3 to 5 percent over 2014 to 2021”, it would significantly strengthen the conclusion that: “Barring members of Congress and the president from owning or trading individual stocks would reduce the use of public office for private gain”",
 "truth": 0.5,
 "confidence": 0.277778,
 "starts_at": 0.5,
 "start_weight": 1.0,
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  "erp": null
 },
 "reasonrank": 1.48e-05,
 "reasonrank_place": 1916,
 "work_value": 1.069e-05,
 "beliefs_beneath": [
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 "complete": true,
 "checks": [],
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 "url": "evid-trades-placed-before-barring-members.html",
 "cite": "If it were true that: “Trades placed before legislative events earned abnormal returns of about 3 to 5 percent over 2014 to 2021”, it would significantly strengthen the conclusion that: “Barring members of Congress and the president from owning or trading individual stocks would reduce the use of public office for private gain”. Idea Stock Exchange, linkage page evid-trades-placed-before-barring-members, truth 0.50, confidence 28%, revision 42c8344.",
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}