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Belief

Governments should generally require proven childhood vaccines for school attendance. 0.50 Agree Disagree

Topic: Diseases · draft Still needs: evidence, objective criteria, testable predictions or a falsifiability test, costs and benefits, interests on either side (listed at the end of the page) · Votes are shown as what people think, next to what the analysis says, and never move a score. · Position on the topic axis (typed, not scored): +60

If you disagree, this page has a column for you. A study, record or dataset for “Some children cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons, and they are only protected when nearly everyone around them is”, which rests on argument alone.

Argument TreesHow arguments are scored →

Reasons to agree

#ArgumentTruthConfLinkImpUniqScore
1Some children cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons, and they are only protected when nearly everyone around them is.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00+0.00
2Schools gather many children in close quarters every day, which is exactly the setting where an outbreak spreads fastest.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00+0.00
3A requirement tied to school attendance reaches almost every family, while a purely voluntary approach leaves gaps that a disease can find.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00+0.00

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Reasons to disagree

#ArgumentTruthConfLinkImpUniqScore
1Parents, not school administrators, are responsible for a child's body and should make medical decisions for that child.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00-0.00
2Mandates breed resentment and distrust of public health, which can lower vaccination rates over time more than persuasion would.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00-0.00
3Most vaccine-preventable diseases are already rare, so the added benefit of forcing the last holdouts is small compared with the cost to liberty.Agree Disagree 0.500.001.000.501.00-0.00

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Weight for 0.00 · weight against 0.00 · net +0.00

Each reason is a claim with its own page. Score = sign x (2 x Truth - 1) x Conf x Link x Imp x Uniq, and every column is here so the row can be multiplied out and checked. A reason argued false scores negative and counts against the side it is filed on; a reason nobody has argued yet scores exactly 0, and so does one whose own page has no work behind it.

What Would Change the AnswerTruth scores →

#InputIts truthConfIf falseIf trueMoveIf settledWhat it does here
1Some children cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons, and they are only protected when nearly everyone around them is. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
2Schools gather many children in close quarters every day, which is exactly the setting where an outbreak spreads fastest. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
3A requirement tied to school attendance reaches almost every family, while a purely voluntary approach leaves gaps that a disease can find. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
4Parents, not school administrators, are responsible for a child's body and should make medical decisions for that child. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
5Mandates breed resentment and distrust of public health, which can lower vaccination rates over time more than persuasion would. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling
6Most vaccine-preventable diseases are already rare, so the added benefit of forcing the last holdouts is small compared with the cost to liberty. Claim0.500%0.500.500.000.17worth settling

Every claim beneath this page held at false and then at true, one at a time, with the whole graph recomputed each time. "If false" and "if true" are where this page’s truth score lands; "Move" is how far apart they are. "If settled" is that same distance with the input’s confidence held at 1, which is what it would be worth once the work behind it is finished, so the gap between Move and If settled is the value of doing that work. This is one input at a time and finds single points of failure; it does not test several inputs moving together, which is how correlated assumptions actually fail.

Related Beliefs

  1. Routine cancer screening of healthy adults with no symptoms generally does more harm than good. 0.50
  2. Governments should generally require proven childhood vaccines for school attendance. (this page)

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The other beliefs filed under Diseases; this one is listed unlinked.

Not filled in yet

Evidence Ledgerno findings cited yet
Falsifiability Testnothing named that would strengthen or weaken this belief if it turned up
Testable Predictionsnothing stated that we should observe if this belief is true or false
Objective Criteriano yardstick both sides would accept in advance has been proposed
What Acting On This Would Cost and Gainno costs or benefits priced yet
Logical Anatomythe claim has not been split into its component parts
Interests, Not Positionsnobody has mapped who wants what, or why
Media Resourcesno books, studies or films weighed
Legal Frameworkno laws or rulings cited
General to Specificnot linked to broader or narrower beliefs

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Submitting opens GitHub; you need a free account. As you type, claims already on the site that say the same thing are shown, and a duplicate becomes a vote for the one already here.

Parts of the template nobody has filled in here. They are named rather than shown, because an empty table is not a finding, and each one is a reason the confidence above is not higher. A part that takes rows has a form for its first one.

What this page needs right now

#The gapWhere it goesWho is best placed to fill it
1A study, record or dataset for “Some children cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons, and they are only protected when nearly everyone around them is”, which rests on argument aloneEvidence Ledgeranyone with the source
2A measurement both sides would accept in advance, with the reading each side predictsObjective Criteriaanyone who can name a yardstick the other side would sign

Named gaps, read off the tables above, so a newcomer can see exactly where a contribution goes. None of them requires agreeing with the page, and each one links to the form it goes in.

What the numbers are made of

Share on the agree side
no scored weight either way
Confidence
32%. Weakest parts: scrutiny 0% · grounding 0%
Depended on
ReasonRank 0.0033, 14 of 2173
Strongest reason for
Some children cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons, and they are only protected when nearly everyone around them is. +0.00
Strongest reason against
Parents, not school administrators, are responsible for a child's body and should make medical decisions for that child. -0.00
What would move this most
Settling Some children cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons, and they are…: 0.50 if false, 0.50 if true
Coverage
Of 6 scored rows, 6 have no linkage page, 6 have no importance page, 6 have no uniqueness page. This page reads 6 other pages. 6 of them are one-sided or empty: Some children cannot be vaccinated for medical reasons, and they are only protected when nearly everyone around them is.; Schools gather many children in close quarters every day, which is exactly the setting where an outbreak spreads fastest.; A requirement tied to school attendance reaches almost every family, while a purely voluntary approach leaves gaps that a disease can find.; Parents, not school administrators, are responsible for a child's body and should make medical decisions for that child.; Mandates breed resentment and distrust of public health, which can lower vaccination rates over time more than persuasion would.; Most vaccine-preventable diseases are already rare, so the added benefit of forcing the last holdouts is small compared with the cost to liberty..
Bottom line
The disagreement turns on whether protecting the classmates who cannot be vaccinated outweighs a parent's right to decide for their own child.

Structural Checks

FindingHow seriousWhat it means
Nothing stated would show it falsea noteNo testable prediction is listed, so as written there is no observation that would count against this belief.

Faults the shape of the argument can show without reading a word of it: a claim used to support itself, a conclusion listed among its own premises, the same page counted twice. None of these changes a score. The wiki also specifies pattern-matching the prose for ten named fallacies; that is deliberately not done here, because a matcher looking for “attacking the person rather than the argument” would fire on the central legitimate argument on this whole site, and a score moved by a regular expression has no page to appeal to.

Scoring EngineTruth scores →

QuantityValueHow
Argument score+0.00argument rows: weight for minus weight against
Evidence score+0.00evidence rows: weight for minus weight against
Prediction contribution+0.00prediction rows, same signed formula as every other row
Belief score+0.00the three lines above added together
Positive total0.00every row whose signed contribution came out positive, from either side
Negative total0.00every row whose signed contribution came out negative, as a magnitude
Starting point0.50where this claim starts before any of its own rows count: Nothing observed: no source type recorded, so this claim starts at a coin flip
Weight of the starting point1.00k x a bounded reward for independent replication, k = 1, capped at 2.0 x k
Truth score, argued0.50(positive + weight x starting point) / (positive + negative + weight)
Truth score0.50argued truth, capped by the weakest load-bearing component that has its own page
ReasonRank0.0033how much of the site depends on this page: rank 14 of 2173. The share of a walk that starts at the 162 beliefs and steps to the pages they read, with a 0.85 chance of stepping on each time
Work value0.0023ReasonRank x (1 - confidence): how much settling this page would be worth to everything above it
Completenessyesat least one scored reason on each side (an importance page: at least one interest; an interest page: both readings filled)

Cite this page Governments should generally require proven childhood vaccines for school attendance. Idea Stock Exchange, belief page governments-generally-require-proven, truth 0.50, confidence 32%, revision 42c8344 of 2026-10-04. The revision is what makes this quotable: these numbers move as the argument is worked on, and rebuilding that revision reproduces them exactly.

Every number on this page as data: governments-generally-require-proven.json. Constants: K = 1 · UNARG = 0.5 · DEFLINK = 1 · DEFIMP = 0.5 · DEFUNIQ = 1. A reason placed under a conclusion is presumed relevant until a linkage page says otherwise; the burden is on the challenger. The neutral start for importance, the wiki's own rule.

Every value here is computed from the tables above at build time. Nothing is typed.