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Importance
This prediction if the belief is false: “The share of incoming members whose wealth is in the top 1 percent rises after a ban” addresses the most important interest at stake in the belief: “Barring members of Congress and the president from owning or trading individual stocks would reduce the use of public office for private gain” 0.50
Interests at stake in this rowImportance scores →
| # | Interest | Validity | Bears | Effective | Relative | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The country needs capable people of ordinary means willing to serve, not only the wealthy and the indifferent. Measured by: Net worth distribution of candidates and of incoming members | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 100% | Opportunity |
Who is affected by what this row says? List the interests it speaks to (up to five), each an Interest page from the belief's Interests table. Bears is presumed 1 until a bearing page argues it down. Effective = Validity x Bears; the row's importance is the largest Effective. Nothing here is typed: every number is read from the page that argues it.
Check table
| 1 | The row, read from its page | The share of incoming members whose wealth is in the top 1 percent rises after a ban. |
| 2 | The belief, read from its page | Barring members of Congress and the president from owning or trading individual stocks would reduce the use of public office for private gain. |
| 3 | Who is affected by what this row says | People of ordinary means who might otherwise run. |
| 4 | Most valid interest it really speaks to | The country needs capable people of ordinary means willing to serve, not only the wealthy and the indifferent. (effective 0.50) |
| 5 | Interests listed | 1 of 5 |
The five steps, answered from the pages above. Only the one-sentence bridge and the bottom line are typed.
DefinitionsThe full explanation →
- Importance asks: if this row is true, how much rides on it? It is answered through the interests the row speaks to, so one interest page serves every row that speaks to it and nobody argues importance twice.
- To dispute a row's importance: argue on the interest page (is this need really that valid?), or open a bearing page for the listing (does the row really speak to that interest?). Both are argued pages; neither is a typed number.
Where This Page Is Used
| Page | Table | As | Its truth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barring members of Congress and the president from owning or trading individual stocks would reduce the use of public office for private gain. | predictions | the importance of a row | 0.50 |
Every page that reads this one. One claim, one home, every use visible.
Scoring EngineTruth scores →
| Quantity | Value | How |
|---|---|---|
| Interests listed | 1 | interest pages in the table above |
| Importance score | 0.50 | the largest Validity x Bears above, or the neutral constant when none is listed |
| ReasonRank | 0.0000 | how much of the site depends on this page: rank 1947 of 2173. The share of a walk that starts at the 162 beliefs and steps to the pages they read, with a 0.85 chance of stepping on each time |
| Work value | 0.0000 | ReasonRank x (1 - confidence): how much settling this page would be worth to everything above it |
| Completeness | yes | at least one scored reason on each side (an importance page: at least one interest; an interest page: both readings filled) |
Cite this page This prediction if the belief is false: “The share of incoming members whose wealth is in the top 1 percent rises after a ban” addresses the most important interest at stake in the belief: “Barring members of Congress and the president from owning or trading individual stocks would reduce the use of public office for private gain”. Idea Stock Exchange, importance page imp-share-incoming-members-barring-members, truth 0.50, confidence 15%, revision 42c8344 of 2026-10-04. The revision is what makes this quotable: these numbers move as the argument is worked on, and rebuilding that revision reproduces them exactly.
Every number on this page as data: imp-share-incoming-members-barring-members.json. Constants: K = 1 · UNARG = 0.5 · DEFLINK = 1 · DEFIMP = 0.5 · DEFUNIQ = 1. A reason placed under a conclusion is presumed relevant until a linkage page says otherwise; the burden is on the challenger. The neutral start for importance, the wiki's own rule.
Every value here is computed from the tables above at build time. Nothing is typed.