Influence moves to informal channels that file nothing and leave no record. 0.50 Agree Disagree

Topic: Public office and private gain · Votes are shown as what people think, next to what the analysis says, and never move a score. · Used on: Barring the president and members of Congress from giving any official government function to a family member would reduce the use of public office for private gain.

If you disagree, this page has a column for you. A study, record or dataset that bears on this belief directly.

Argument TreesHow arguments are scored →

Reasons to agree

#	Argument	Truth	Conf	Link	Imp	Uniq	Score
1	This is the documented consequence of the pre-2017 arrangement.	0.50	0.00	1.00	0.50	1.00	+0.00

Reasons to disagree

#	Argument	Truth	Conf	Link	Imp	Uniq	Score
1	A rule written around function rather than title reaches them.	0.50	0.00	1.00	0.50	1.00	-0.00

Weight for 0.00 · weight against 0.00 · net +0.00

Each reason is a claim with its own page. Score = sign x (2 x Truth - 1) x Conf x Link x Imp x Uniq, and every column is here so the row can be multiplied out and checked. A reason argued false scores negative and counts against the side it is filed on; a reason nobody has argued yet scores exactly 0, and so does one whose own page has no work behind it.

Where This Page Is Used

Page	Table	As	Its truth
Barring the president and members of Congress from giving any official government function to a family member would reduce the use of public office for private gain.	costs and benefits	a row	0.50

Every page that reads this one. One claim, one home, every use visible.

Not filled in yet

Top 5 of 11 rows shown. Show all

What Would Change the Answer	nothing sits beneath this page yet for the answer to rest on
Evidence Ledger	no findings cited yet
Falsifiability Test	nothing named that would strengthen or weaken this claim if it turned up
Testable Predictions	nothing stated that we should observe if this claim is true or false
Objective Criteria	no yardstick both sides would accept in advance has been proposed
What Acting On This Would Cost and Gain	no costs or benefits priced yet
Logical Anatomy	the claim has not been split into its component parts
Interests, Not Positions	nobody has mapped who wants what, or why
Media Resources	no books, studies or films weighed
Legal Framework	no laws or rulings cited
General to Specific	not linked to broader or narrower beliefs

Parts of the template nobody has filled in here. They are named rather than shown, because an empty table is not a finding, and each one is a reason the confidence above is not higher. A part that takes rows has a form for its first one.

What this page needs right now

#	The gap	Where it goes	Who is best placed to fill it
1	A study, record or dataset that bears on this belief directly	Evidence Ledger	anyone with the source
2	A measurement both sides would accept in advance, with the reading each side predicts	Objective Criteria	anyone who can name a yardstick the other side would sign

Named gaps, read off the tables above, so a newcomer can see exactly where a contribution goes. None of them requires agreeing with the page, and each one links to the form it goes in.

What the numbers are made of

Share on the agree side: no scored weight either way
Confidence: 26%. Weakest parts: depth 0% · scrutiny 0%
Depended on: ReasonRank 0.0001, 1444 of 2173 · beneath 1 of 162 beliefs · read by 1 page
Strongest reason for: This is the documented consequence of the pre-2017 arrangement. +0.00
Strongest reason against: A rule written around function rather than title reaches them. -0.00
Coverage: Of 2 scored rows, 2 have no linkage page, 2 have no importance page, 2 have no uniqueness page. This page reads no other page, so nothing beneath it can move it.

Scoring EngineTruth scores →

Quantity	Value	How
Argument score	+0.00	argument rows: weight for minus weight against
Evidence score	+0.00	evidence rows: weight for minus weight against
Prediction contribution	+0.00	prediction rows, same signed formula as every other row
Belief score	+0.00	the three lines above added together
Positive total	0.00	every row whose signed contribution came out positive, from either side
Negative total	0.00	every row whose signed contribution came out negative, as a magnitude
Starting point	0.50	where this claim starts before any of its own rows count: Nothing observed: no source type recorded, so this claim starts at a coin flip
Weight of the starting point	1.00	k x a bounded reward for independent replication, k = 1, capped at 2.0 x k
Truth score, argued	0.50	(positive + weight x starting point) / (positive + negative + weight)
Truth score	0.50	argued truth, capped by the weakest load-bearing component that has its own page
ReasonRank	0.0001	how much of the site depends on this page: rank 1444 of 2173. The share of a walk that starts at the 162 beliefs and steps to the pages they read, with a 0.85 chance of stepping on each time
Work value	0.0001	ReasonRank x (1 - confidence): how much settling this page would be worth to everything above it
Completeness	yes	at least one scored reason on each side (an importance page: at least one interest; an interest page: both readings filled)

Cite this page Influence moves to informal channels that file nothing and leave no record. Idea Stock Exchange, claim page influence-moves-informal-channels, truth 0.50, confidence 26%, revision 42c8344 of 2026-10-04. The revision is what makes this quotable: these numbers move as the argument is worked on, and rebuilding that revision reproduces them exactly.

Every number on this page as data: influence-moves-informal-channels.json. Constants: K = 1 · UNARG = 0.5 · DEFLINK = 1 · DEFIMP = 0.5 · DEFUNIQ = 1. A reason placed under a conclusion is presumed relevant until a linkage page says otherwise; the burden is on the challenger. The neutral start for importance, the wiki's own rule.

Every value here is computed from the tables above at build time. Nothing is typed.