{
 "key": "public-decisions-generally-rest",
 "id": 609,
 "kind": "belief",
 "text": "Public decisions should generally rest on measured statistics rather than on personal experience and anecdote.",
 "standalone": "Public decisions should generally rest on measured statistics rather than on personal experience and anecdote.",
 "truth": 0.5,
 "confidence": 0.319444,
 "starts_at": 0.5,
 "start_weight": 1.0,
 "rests_on": {
  "etype": null,
  "erq": null,
  "erp": null
 },
 "reasonrank": 0.00334257,
 "reasonrank_place": 52,
 "work_value": 0.00227481,
 "beliefs_beneath": [],
 "complete": true,
 "checks": [
  {
   "severity": "a note",
   "title": "Nothing stated would show it false",
   "why": "No testable prediction is listed, so as written there is no observation that would count against this belief."
  }
 ],
 "used_on": [],
 "reads": [
  610,
  611,
  612,
  613,
  614,
  615
 ],
 "url": "public-decisions-generally-rest.html",
 "cite": "Public decisions should generally rest on measured statistics rather than on personal experience and anecdote. Idea Stock Exchange, belief page public-decisions-generally-rest, truth 0.50, confidence 32%, revision 42c8344.",
 "argued_truth": 0.5,
 "belief_score": 0,
 "weight_for": 0,
 "weight_against": 0,
 "capped_by": [],
 "sensitivity": {
  "status": "undecided",
  "inputs": 6,
  "inert": 0,
  "joint_worst": 0.5,
  "top": [
   {
    "page": 610,
    "key": "one-person-s-experience",
    "if_false": 0.5,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.0,
    "move_if_settled": 0.166667,
    "verdict": "worth settling"
   },
   {
    "page": 611,
    "key": "anecdotes-remembered-repeated-because",
    "if_false": 0.5,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.0,
    "move_if_settled": 0.166667,
    "verdict": "worth settling"
   },
   {
    "page": 612,
    "key": "number-can-checked-repeated",
    "if_false": 0.5,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.0,
    "move_if_settled": 0.166667,
    "verdict": "worth settling"
   },
   {
    "page": 613,
    "key": "statistics-measure-only-what",
    "if_false": 0.5,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.0,
    "move_if_settled": 0.166667,
    "verdict": "worth settling"
   },
   {
    "page": 614,
    "key": "averages-hide-people-edges",
    "if_false": 0.5,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.0,
    "move_if_settled": 0.166667,
    "verdict": "worth settling"
   },
   {
    "page": 615,
    "key": "whoever-chooses-what-gets",
    "if_false": 0.5,
    "if_true": 0.5,
    "move": 0.0,
    "move_if_settled": 0.166667,
    "verdict": "worth settling"
   }
  ]
 },
 "built_from": "42c8344"
}